The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is made up of 500 companies from 11 different economic sectors. The information technology sector is the largest by a wide margin, representing 29.9% of the entire value of the index.
The S&P 500 recently suffered a peak-to-trough decline of 19%, falling just shy of the bear-market threshold of 20%. However, the S&P 500 Information Technology index plunged by as much as 26%, placing it firmly in bear territory. Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia are just some of the heavyweights in the information technology sector, so it’s a good proxy for the performance of some of America’s most valuable companies.
The Vanguard Information Technology ETF (NYSEMKT: VGT) exclusively invests in stocks from the information technology sector (including those inside and outside the S&P 500), and it has outperformed the S&P 500 every year, on average since it was established in 2004. Therefore, investors with a spare $550 might want to take the opportunity to buy one share in this fund while it’s trading at a discount during the tech bear market.
On April 2, President Trump announced plans to impose a sweeping 10% tariff on all physical products imported into America, in addition to a series of much higher “reciprocal” tariffs on goods from specific countries. The reciprocal tariffs have since been paused for 90 days pending negotiations between the U.S. and its trading partners, except for those placed on China, which remain active.
Sweeping tariffs have immediately increased the cost of living for consumers, which could dent America’s economic growth. Plus, some countries have imposed their own tariffs in retaliation, which will also hurt U.S. exporters. This is a cocktail for weaker corporate earnings, which is why the S&P 500 suffered such a sharp decline over the last few weeks.
However, many of the products and services produced by companies in the information technology sector aren’t directly affected by the tariffs, which is why I believe the sector’s underperformance relative to the S&P 500 represents a big opportunity for investors. For example, semiconductors have been excluded from President Trump’s tariffs from the beginning, which means the industry-leading artificial intelligence (AI) chips produced by companies like Nvidia and Broadcom won’t be affected.
Moreover, Microsoft primarily sells digital products like the Windows operating system and 365 productivity suite (Word, Excel, and PowerPoint), in addition to cloud services through its Azure platform. None of those are subject to the tariffs (for now). Further, last weekend, President Trump announced that smartphones and computers will be removed from the reciprocal tariffs that are still in place on imports from China. This significantly benefits Apple, which manufactures around 90% of its iPhones in that country.